2025 JUN 17 Israel vs Iran BLUF Iran makes a deal, as per the (No Nuclear Weapons Policy which has never been a negotiable position for TRUMP) or the policy will be enforced with Military Impunity

(SITREP by Gen. Flynn ) THIS WAR WILL END WITH A CLEAR VICTOR.

4cminewswire

Jun 17, 2025

Transcript

Without prejudice
OPINION

Iran Ballistic Missile capacity

— how much longer can they sustain these barrages?

(SITREP by Gen. Flynn 17th June)

It’s just past 0200 local in Tel Aviv time now.

Iran has over 3,000 ballistic missiles but cannot launch all simultaneously (they’ve already launched 8 waves). Current evidence leans toward a maximum of around 180-200 missiles launched at once in recent attacks. It seems very likely that infrastructure limits simultaneous launches to far below 3,000.

Iran possesses a significant ballistic missile arsenal, estimated at over 3,000 missiles, making it the largest in the Middle East. However, the capacity to launch all these missiles at once is constrained by logistical and strategic factors, including the number of launch platforms and the nature of their deployment.

Recent military actions show Iran launching up to 180-200 missiles in a single strike. These numbers are significantly lower than 3,000, indicating a limit to simultaneous launch capacity.

Iran's infrastructure and launch capacity, including transporter-erector-launchers (TELs) and underground facilities, does not support launching 3,000 missiles at once. The focus on sequential or ripple-fire systems further supports this limitation.

ASSESSMENT: BALLISTIC MISSILE STOCKS

My assessment is Iran is getting toward the end of their ballistic missile capacity (for a variety of reasons). They are likely to still retain hundreds but their ability to launch very large numbers is hindered by infrastructure destruction over the past several days as well as launch capabilities.

That said, DO NOT underestimate Iran’s ability to do as much as humanly possible to attempt to destroy Israel. That has been their stated goal for years and until there is regime change to someone more aligned with Israel and the west, expect this war to continue.

Iran's ballistic missile program has been a focal point of regional and international security discussions for many years, particularly given its implications for Middle Eastern stability and global non-proliferation efforts.

Iran's ballistic missile inventory comprises a diverse array of short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) and medium-range ballistic missiles (MRBMs). One notable development is an automated missile launch system revealed since 2020, capable of positioning up to five fully fueled ballistic missiles on an underground railcar for sequential ripple-fire through a single vertical shaft. This is what Israel is facing now. Barrages of dozens of these simultaneously and my assessment is more to come.

STRATEGIC & LOGISTICAL CONSIDERATIONS

Launching 3,000 missiles simultaneously would require an unprecedented number of launch platforms and coordination, likely exceeding Iran's current capabilities. Strategically, such an action would deplete Iran's entire arsenal, leaving it vulnerable to counterattacks.

Our Israeli allies need to prepare for another round of massive amounts of missiles. Iran—you better get ready for a strategic counteroffensive. The Israelis have planned this war for a long time and my sense is that they are far more ready than you, particularly their population. The Iranian people DO NOT want to suffer any longer under their brutal tyrannical regime.

THIS WAR WILL END WITH A CLEAR VICTOR. ~ Gen. Flynn

There are historic consequences at stake next 24/48 hours. Pray; our nation’s leadership uses great discernment. SAY SOME PRAYERS ~ Quote 01 General Mike Flynn1

Cambridge Union:
This House Believes a Nuclear Iran is Better Than War
Full Debate 1h : 20m : 48s

4cminewswire2:

ALEX (AJN): Re your comment:

DJT "He Will Essentially Commit Political Suicide and Destroy the MAGA Common Sense / Populist Coalition."3

ALEX: I personally think that’s wondering into the realms of fantasy.

ALEX: Everyone should just chill and take a double dose of sedatives or better still increase the intake of m/blue!

DJT No Nuclear Weapons Policy for Iran - (NNWP-IR)

Firstly: President Trump has never hidden His (No Nuclear Weapons Policy for Iran which has never been a negotiable position for TRUMP with IRAN)

Secondly: President Trump has never hidden or ruled out the option of the (No Nuclear Weapons Policy for Iran) being enforced with U.S. Military Impunity if Iran will not negotiate a verifiable zero weaponised nuclear power plant plan.

Acknowledgement Original Sources

SITREP by Gen. Flynn 17th June Credit to: General Mike Flynn | 𝕏-handle: @GenFlynn | 𝕏-tagline: ran Ballistic Missile capacity — how much longer can they sustain these barrages? | 𝕏-clip: 1934752965979447637 | 𝕏-post: 1934752965979447637 𝕏-AWST-Timestamp: 9:31 AM | 𝕏-AWST-Datestamp: Jun 17, 2025

FEATURE Media Segment Credit to: Documenting Israel, Douglas Murray and Cambridge Union | YT-handle: @DocumentingIsrael | YT-tagline: Douglas Murray Cambridge Union This House Believes a Nuclear Iran is Better Than War | YT-clip: FQUi0vd1EeI | YT-date-(AWST): 2011 MAR 03 | 4CM-notes: Douglas Murray argument against!

EMBEDDED Media Full Debate Credit to: Cambridge Union | YT-handle: @cambridgeunionsoc1815 | YT-tagline: This House Believes a Nuclear Iran is Better Than War | YT-clip: yovdQ9KUkAM | YT-date-(AWST): 2011 MAR 03 | 4CM-notes: All Arguments Fors and Against